Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 61.4% implied probability following his record 61-goal Bundesliga campaign that delivered the title and DFB-Pokal for Bayern Munich, complemented by six World Cup goals for England that carried the side to the semifinals. Traders view this combination of sustained club dominance and major-tournament output as decisive in a wide-open race. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.9% on the strength of another standout year at Barcelona and with Spain, while Rodri and Kylian Mbappé trail at 7.5% and 7.2% respectively on the back of consistent elite performances. Recent post-tournament betting shifts reflect Kane's edge in goals, assists, and individual honors over the full 2025-26 cycle.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHarry Kane 61.3%
Lamine Yamal 15.9%
Rodri 8%
Kylian Mbappé 7.2%
$28,559,912 Vol.
$28,559,912 Vol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
8%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Désiré Doué
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 61.3%
Lamine Yamal 15.9%
Rodri 8%
Kylian Mbappé 7.2%
$28,559,912 Vol.
$28,559,912 Vol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
8%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Désiré Doué
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 61.4% implied probability following his record 61-goal Bundesliga campaign that delivered the title and DFB-Pokal for Bayern Munich, complemented by six World Cup goals for England that carried the side to the semifinals. Traders view this combination of sustained club dominance and major-tournament output as decisive in a wide-open race. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.9% on the strength of another standout year at Barcelona and with Spain, while Rodri and Kylian Mbappé trail at 7.5% and 7.2% respectively on the back of consistent elite performances. Recent post-tournament betting shifts reflect Kane's edge in goals, assists, and individual honors over the full 2025-26 cycle.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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