Ismael Burgueño Ruiz holds the strongest position among early frontrunners for the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial election, reflecting his lead in recent preference surveys for Morena’s internal nomination process. Multiple candidates, including Julieta Ramírez Padilla and Jorge Ramos Hernández, have registered in the party’s selection, while Burgueño took leave from the Tijuana mayoralty in June 2026 to pursue the nod. The contest remains fluid more than a year before the general election, with undecided voters and coalition dynamics among Morena, PVEM, and PT keeping probabilities compressed. Nomination outcomes, primary polling shifts, and any late endorsements or alliances could widen gaps ahead of the 2027 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIsmael Burgueño Ruiz 44%
Julieta Ramírez Padilla 27%
Víctor Galicia 20%
Héctor Osuna Jaime 9%

Ismael Burgueño Ruiz
44%

Julieta Ramírez Padilla
27%

Víctor Galicia
20%

Héctor Osuna Jaime
9%

Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe
8%

Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas
6%

Gina Cruz Blackledge
4%

Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega
4%

Fernando Castro Trenti
4%

Montserrat Caballero Ramírez
4%

Armando Ayala Robles
3%

Gustavo Macalpin
3%

Evangelina Moreno Guerra
11%

Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros
10%

Karla Ruiz Macfarland
3%

Juan Carlos Hank
3%

Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso
2%

Jorge Ramos Hernández
2%

Daylín García Ruvalcaba
25%

Ana Daniela García Salgado
2%

Gustavo de Hoyos Walther
1%
Ismael Burgueño Ruiz 44%
Julieta Ramírez Padilla 27%
Víctor Galicia 20%
Héctor Osuna Jaime 9%

Ismael Burgueño Ruiz
44%

Julieta Ramírez Padilla
27%

Víctor Galicia
20%

Héctor Osuna Jaime
9%

Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe
8%

Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas
6%

Gina Cruz Blackledge
4%

Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega
4%

Fernando Castro Trenti
4%

Montserrat Caballero Ramírez
4%

Armando Ayala Robles
3%

Gustavo Macalpin
3%

Evangelina Moreno Guerra
11%

Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros
10%

Karla Ruiz Macfarland
3%

Juan Carlos Hank
3%

Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso
2%

Jorge Ramos Hernández
2%

Daylín García Ruvalcaba
25%

Ana Daniela García Salgado
2%

Gustavo de Hoyos Walther
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ismael Burgueño Ruiz holds the strongest position among early frontrunners for the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial election, reflecting his lead in recent preference surveys for Morena’s internal nomination process. Multiple candidates, including Julieta Ramírez Padilla and Jorge Ramos Hernández, have registered in the party’s selection, while Burgueño took leave from the Tijuana mayoralty in June 2026 to pursue the nod. The contest remains fluid more than a year before the general election, with undecided voters and coalition dynamics among Morena, PVEM, and PT keeping probabilities compressed. Nomination outcomes, primary polling shifts, and any late endorsements or alliances could widen gaps ahead of the 2027 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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