House Republican leadership and broad bipartisan majorities have consistently blocked or defeated amendments seeking to restrict or eliminate annual Foreign Military Financing for Israel, most recently in July 2026 when a measure cutting $3.3 billion failed 314-104 despite support from over 100 Democrats. With the September 30 deadline approaching in under three weeks and Congress focused on other priorities, no qualifying legislation has advanced through committee or reached the floor. The existing 10-year security assistance framework through 2028, combined with pro-Israel provisions in the enacted NDAA and recent passage of related measures, reinforces trader expectations that no restrictive bill will clear the House. Late-session developments such as an unforeseen diplomatic breakthrough, major escalation in regional conflicts, or procedural maneuver by a narrow majority could still create an opening, though the compressed timeline and entrenched support make such shifts improbable.