The Philippine Senate's closely divided composition and recent leadership shift, with Marcos-aligned Sen. Sherwin Gatchalian elected president after the removal of Duterte ally Alan Peter Cayetano, have created a narrow path to the 16 votes required for conviction on any of the four articles involving alleged misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, graft, and threats against President Marcos. The ongoing trial, which opened July 6 and features extended witness schedules into 2027, has seen procedural debates over the two-thirds threshold amid absences or detentions of several senators, including pro-Duterte figures. Trader consensus at 51 percent for acquittal reflects uncertainty over whether prosecution evidence will consolidate enough cross-aisle support or if defense arguments and institutional pressures will sustain the current balance.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
49% সম্ভাবনা
$12,170 Vol.
$12,170 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
49% সম্ভাবনা
$12,170 Vol.
$12,170 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate's closely divided composition and recent leadership shift, with Marcos-aligned Sen. Sherwin Gatchalian elected president after the removal of Duterte ally Alan Peter Cayetano, have created a narrow path to the 16 votes required for conviction on any of the four articles involving alleged misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, graft, and threats against President Marcos. The ongoing trial, which opened July 6 and features extended witness schedules into 2027, has seen procedural debates over the two-thirds threshold amid absences or detentions of several senators, including pro-Duterte figures. Trader consensus at 51 percent for acquittal reflects uncertainty over whether prosecution evidence will consolidate enough cross-aisle support or if defense arguments and institutional pressures will sustain the current balance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
ভলিউম
$12,170শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate's closely divided composition and recent leadership shift, with Marcos-aligned Sen. Sherwin Gatchalian elected president after the removal of Duterte ally Alan Peter Cayetano, have created a narrow path to the 16 votes required for conviction on any of the four articles involving alleged misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, graft, and threats against President Marcos. The ongoing trial, which opened July 6 and features extended witness schedules into 2027, has seen procedural debates over the two-thirds threshold amid absences or detentions of several senators, including pro-Duterte figures. Trader consensus at 51 percent for acquittal reflects uncertainty over whether prosecution evidence will consolidate enough cross-aisle support or if defense arguments and institutional pressures will sustain the current balance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
ভলিউম
$12,170শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...The Philippine Senate's closely divided composition and recent leadership shift, with Marcos-aligned Sen. Sherwin Gatchalian elected president after the removal of Duterte ally Alan Peter Cayetano, have created a narrow path to the 16 votes required for conviction on any of the four articles involving alleged misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, graft, and threats against President Marcos. The ongoing trial, which opened July 6 and features extended witness schedules into 2027, has seen procedural debates over the two-thirds threshold amid absences or detentions of several senators, including pro-Duterte figures. Trader consensus at 51 percent for acquittal reflects uncertainty over whether prosecution evidence will consolidate enough cross-aisle support or if defense arguments and institutional pressures will sustain the current balance.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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