Louisiana State Treasurer John Fleming advanced to the June 27 Republican Senate primary runoff against Rep. Julia Letlow after placing second in the May primary and eliminating incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy. He has continued active campaigning, issued debate challenges, and released internal polling framing the contest as competitive. Earlier reports of offers for federal positions in exchange for withdrawal were publicly declined, with no subsequent announcements or signals of exit. With the runoff weeks away and Fleming maintaining his candidacy through official statements and events, traders assign an implied 78% probability he remains on the ballot through the June 26 resolution deadline.