Washington's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican-leaning seat in central Washington, encompassing Yakima and the Tri-Cities, where recent primary results advanced Republican Amanda McKinney and Democrat John Duresky to the November 3 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the open seat—following incumbent Dan Newhouse's retirement—as Solid or Safe Republican based on consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic performance in prior cycles. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 91% implied probability, reflecting the district's structural advantages and McKinney's primary lead. A major scandal, unusually strong national Democratic turnout, or significant campaign missteps could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established electoral baselines.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWA-04 House Election Winner
WA-04 House Election Winner
$45,194 Vol.
$45,194 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
$45,194 Vol.
$45,194 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$24,210 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$20,984 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican-leaning seat in central Washington, encompassing Yakima and the Tri-Cities, where recent primary results advanced Republican Amanda McKinney and Democrat John Duresky to the November 3 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the open seat—following incumbent Dan Newhouse's retirement—as Solid or Safe Republican based on consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic performance in prior cycles. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 91% implied probability, reflecting the district's structural advantages and McKinney's primary lead. A major scandal, unusually strong national Democratic turnout, or significant campaign missteps could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established electoral baselines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$45,194শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican-leaning seat in central Washington, encompassing Yakima and the Tri-Cities, where recent primary results advanced Republican Amanda McKinney and Democrat John Duresky to the November 3 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the open seat—following incumbent Dan Newhouse's retirement—as Solid or Safe Republican based on consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic performance in prior cycles. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 91% implied probability, reflecting the district's structural advantages and McKinney's primary lead. A major scandal, unusually strong national Democratic turnout, or significant campaign missteps could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established electoral baselines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$45,194শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican-leaning seat in central Washington, encompassing Yakima and the Tri-Cities, where recent primary results advanced Republican Amanda McKinney and Democrat John Duresky to the November 3 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the open seat—following incumbent Dan Newhouse's retirement—as Solid or Safe Republican based on consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic performance in prior cycles. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 91% implied probability, reflecting the district's structural advantages and McKinney's primary lead. A major scandal, unusually strong national Democratic turnout, or significant campaign missteps could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established electoral baselines.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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