The U.S. administration's decision to recognize and engage Delcy Rodríguez as Venezuela's interim president since Maduro's January 2026 capture underpins the 97% trader consensus against formal U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado as leader by December 31. Trump officials have prioritized stability, oil sector access, sanctions relief tied to compliance, and negotiations involving regime-linked figures over elevating Machado, who remains in exile and has been publicly described as lacking sufficient domestic backing. Ongoing talks focus on institutional reforms and reconstruction without placing her coalition in charge, consistent with a phased transition plan that defers elections. A sudden policy reversal, major diplomatic rupture with the interim government, or rapid electoral breakthrough could still alter the outcome, though current diplomatic and economic alignments make such shifts improbable in the remaining months.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
3% সম্ভাবনা
$179,280 Vol.
$179,280 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% সম্ভাবনা
$179,280 Vol.
$179,280 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. administration's decision to recognize and engage Delcy Rodríguez as Venezuela's interim president since Maduro's January 2026 capture underpins the 97% trader consensus against formal U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado as leader by December 31. Trump officials have prioritized stability, oil sector access, sanctions relief tied to compliance, and negotiations involving regime-linked figures over elevating Machado, who remains in exile and has been publicly described as lacking sufficient domestic backing. Ongoing talks focus on institutional reforms and reconstruction without placing her coalition in charge, consistent with a phased transition plan that defers elections. A sudden policy reversal, major diplomatic rupture with the interim government, or rapid electoral breakthrough could still alter the outcome, though current diplomatic and economic alignments make such shifts improbable in the remaining months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
ভলিউম
$179,280শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. administration's decision to recognize and engage Delcy Rodríguez as Venezuela's interim president since Maduro's January 2026 capture underpins the 97% trader consensus against formal U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado as leader by December 31. Trump officials have prioritized stability, oil sector access, sanctions relief tied to compliance, and negotiations involving regime-linked figures over elevating Machado, who remains in exile and has been publicly described as lacking sufficient domestic backing. Ongoing talks focus on institutional reforms and reconstruction without placing her coalition in charge, consistent with a phased transition plan that defers elections. A sudden policy reversal, major diplomatic rupture with the interim government, or rapid electoral breakthrough could still alter the outcome, though current diplomatic and economic alignments make such shifts improbable in the remaining months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ভলিউম
$179,280শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...The U.S. administration's decision to recognize and engage Delcy Rodríguez as Venezuela's interim president since Maduro's January 2026 capture underpins the 97% trader consensus against formal U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado as leader by December 31. Trump officials have prioritized stability, oil sector access, sanctions relief tied to compliance, and negotiations involving regime-linked figures over elevating Machado, who remains in exile and has been publicly described as lacking sufficient domestic backing. Ongoing talks focus on institutional reforms and reconstruction without placing her coalition in charge, consistent with a phased transition plan that defers elections. A sudden policy reversal, major diplomatic rupture with the interim government, or rapid electoral breakthrough could still alter the outcome, though current diplomatic and economic alignments make such shifts improbable in the remaining months.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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