Russia's Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, removed Yabloko from the September State Duma ballot following a lawsuit by the Rodina party, triggering the market's "No" resolution condition if a party list is absent. This decision followed initial Central Election Commission registration in July and aligns with longstanding administrative barriers that have limited opposition participation. Yabloko has not cleared the 5% proportional threshold since 1999, with state-aligned polls consistently placing it at 1-4% amid restricted media access and documented controls favoring established parties. Trader consensus at 99% reflects this structural exclusion and historical precedent. A successful final appeal or procedural reversal before voting could theoretically shift outcomes, though prior court actions make such developments improbable within the remaining timeline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
1% সম্ভাবনা
$425,572 Vol.
$425,572 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
1% সম্ভাবনা
$425,572 Vol.
$425,572 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, removed Yabloko from the September State Duma ballot following a lawsuit by the Rodina party, triggering the market's "No" resolution condition if a party list is absent. This decision followed initial Central Election Commission registration in July and aligns with longstanding administrative barriers that have limited opposition participation. Yabloko has not cleared the 5% proportional threshold since 1999, with state-aligned polls consistently placing it at 1-4% amid restricted media access and documented controls favoring established parties. Trader consensus at 99% reflects this structural exclusion and historical precedent. A successful final appeal or procedural reversal before voting could theoretically shift outcomes, though prior court actions make such developments improbable within the remaining timeline.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ET
ভলিউম
$425,572শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, removed Yabloko from the September State Duma ballot following a lawsuit by the Rodina party, triggering the market's "No" resolution condition if a party list is absent. This decision followed initial Central Election Commission registration in July and aligns with longstanding administrative barriers that have limited opposition participation. Yabloko has not cleared the 5% proportional threshold since 1999, with state-aligned polls consistently placing it at 1-4% amid restricted media access and documented controls favoring established parties. Trader consensus at 99% reflects this structural exclusion and historical precedent. A successful final appeal or procedural reversal before voting could theoretically shift outcomes, though prior court actions make such developments improbable within the remaining timeline.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ভলিউম
$425,572শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Russia's Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, removed Yabloko from the September State Duma ballot following a lawsuit by the Rodina party, triggering the market's "No" resolution condition if a party list is absent. This decision followed initial Central Election Commission registration in July and aligns with longstanding administrative barriers that have limited opposition participation. Yabloko has not cleared the 5% proportional threshold since 1999, with state-aligned polls consistently placing it at 1-4% amid restricted media access and documented controls favoring established parties. Trader consensus at 99% reflects this structural exclusion and historical precedent. A successful final appeal or procedural reversal before voting could theoretically shift outcomes, though prior court actions make such developments improbable within the remaining timeline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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