**OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, combined with rapid revenue expansion and frontier-model releases, underpins the 68.8% market-implied odds on a 1.5T+ closing market cap.** The company’s March 2026 private round valued it at $852 billion after a $122 billion raise led by SoftBank, Amazon, and Nvidia; subsequent employee tenders have reaffirmed that level while annualized revenue has climbed above a $40 billion run rate amid GPT-5.6 and GPT-6 Astra launches. Trader consensus reflects strong institutional and retail demand for scaled AI platforms, analogous to recent high-multiple tech listings, despite ongoing GAAP losses and heavy infrastructure spending. Sam Altman’s reported insistence on at least a $1 trillion valuation has shifted IPO timing expectations toward 2027, reducing near-term dilution risk and supporting higher exit multiples once public. With Anthropic’s private mark near $965 billion and SpaceX’s post-IPO precedent still fresh, prediction-market participants price in a sizable step-up from the last private round once shares begin trading. Key upcoming catalysts include further model deployments, potential regulatory clarity on frontier systems, and broader equity-market sentiment around AI capital expenditure. The low probabilities assigned to sub-$1 trillion buckets and the 9.7% “no IPO by end-2027” outcome underscore the view that OpenAI’s growth trajectory and market positioning favor a premium debut over delays or compressed valuations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+ 68.8%
1.25T–1.5T 11%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 9.8%
1T–1.25T 6.9%
$226,606 Vol.
$226,606 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
<1%
500–750B
1%
750B–1T
4%
1T–1.25T
7%
1.25T–1.5T
11%
1.5T+
69%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
10%
1.5T+ 68.8%
1.25T–1.5T 11%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 9.8%
1T–1.25T 6.9%
$226,606 Vol.
$226,606 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
$18,470 Vol.
<1%
500–750B
$20,060 Vol.
1%
750B–1T
$46,791 Vol.
4%
1T–1.25T
$25,832 Vol.
7%
1.25T–1.5T
$18,515 Vol.
11%
1.5T+
$52,863 Vol.
69%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$44,073 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, combined with rapid revenue expansion and frontier-model releases, underpins the 68.8% market-implied odds on a 1.5T+ closing market cap.** The company’s March 2026 private round valued it at $852 billion after a $122 billion raise led by SoftBank, Amazon, and Nvidia; subsequent employee tenders have reaffirmed that level while annualized revenue has climbed above a $40 billion run rate amid GPT-5.6 and GPT-6 Astra launches.
Trader consensus reflects strong institutional and retail demand for scaled AI platforms, analogous to recent high-multiple tech listings, despite ongoing GAAP losses and heavy infrastructure spending. Sam Altman’s reported insistence on at least a $1 trillion valuation has shifted IPO timing expectations toward 2027, reducing near-term dilution risk and supporting higher exit multiples once public. With Anthropic’s private mark near $965 billion and SpaceX’s post-IPO precedent still fresh, prediction-market participants price in a sizable step-up from the last private round once shares begin trading.
Key upcoming catalysts include further model deployments, potential regulatory clarity on frontier systems, and broader equity-market sentiment around AI capital expenditure. The low probabilities assigned to sub-$1 trillion buckets and the 9.7% “no IPO by end-2027” outcome underscore the view that OpenAI’s growth trajectory and market positioning favor a premium debut over delays or compressed valuations.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
ভলিউম
$226,606শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2028মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, combined with rapid revenue expansion and frontier-model releases, underpins the 68.8% market-implied odds on a 1.5T+ closing market cap.** The company’s March 2026 private round valued it at $852 billion after a $122 billion raise led by SoftBank, Amazon, and Nvidia; subsequent employee tenders have reaffirmed that level while annualized revenue has climbed above a $40 billion run rate amid GPT-5.6 and GPT-6 Astra launches.
Trader consensus reflects strong institutional and retail demand for scaled AI platforms, analogous to recent high-multiple tech listings, despite ongoing GAAP losses and heavy infrastructure spending. Sam Altman’s reported insistence on at least a $1 trillion valuation has shifted IPO timing expectations toward 2027, reducing near-term dilution risk and supporting higher exit multiples once public. With Anthropic’s private mark near $965 billion and SpaceX’s post-IPO precedent still fresh, prediction-market participants price in a sizable step-up from the last private round once shares begin trading.
Key upcoming catalysts include further model deployments, potential regulatory clarity on frontier systems, and broader equity-market sentiment around AI capital expenditure. The low probabilities assigned to sub-$1 trillion buckets and the 9.7% “no IPO by end-2027” outcome underscore the view that OpenAI’s growth trajectory and market positioning favor a premium debut over delays or compressed valuations.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ভলিউম
$226,606শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2028মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...**OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, combined with rapid revenue expansion and frontier-model releases, underpins the 68.8% market-implied odds on a 1.5T+ closing market cap.** The company’s March 2026 private round valued it at $852 billion after a $122 billion raise led by SoftBank, Amazon, and Nvidia; subsequent employee tenders have reaffirmed that level while annualized revenue has climbed above a $40 billion run rate amid GPT-5.6 and GPT-6 Astra launches. Trader consensus reflects strong institutional and retail demand for scaled AI platforms, analogous to recent high-multiple tech listings, despite ongoing GAAP losses and heavy infrastructure spending. Sam Altman’s reported insistence on at least a $1 trillion valuation has shifted IPO timing expectations toward 2027, reducing near-term dilution risk and supporting higher exit multiples once public. With Anthropic’s private mark near $965 billion and SpaceX’s post-IPO precedent still fresh, prediction-market participants price in a sizable step-up from the last private round once shares begin trading. Key upcoming catalysts include further model deployments, potential regulatory clarity on frontier systems, and broader equity-market sentiment around AI capital expenditure. The low probabilities assigned to sub-$1 trillion buckets and the 9.7% “no IPO by end-2027” outcome underscore the view that OpenAI’s growth trajectory and market positioning favor a premium debut over delays or compressed valuations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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