Recent polling averages show the SPD projected at 27–29% of the vote in the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, placing it second behind the AfD. This level of support, down sharply from the party’s 2021 result, implies roughly 20–24 seats under proportional allocation once smaller parties clear or miss the 5% threshold. The SPD’s campaign launch in early August, centered on Minister-President Manuela Schwesig, has produced modest gains in some surveys but has not altered the broader trend. With six weeks remaining, the seat distribution hinges on final turnout among eastern German voters and whether the CDU, Linke, or Greens consolidate enough support to shift the proportionality math. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 18–21 and 26–29 seat brackets aligns with these stable mid-to-low-20s estimates.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড18-21 29%
26-29 25%
<18 13%
30-33 11%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 20, 2026
<18
13%
18-21
39%
22-25
8%
26-29
25%
30-33
11%
34+
8%
18-21 29%
26-29 25%
<18 13%
30-33 11%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 20, 2026
<18
$40 Vol.
13%
18-21
$120 Vol.
39%
22-25
$139 Vol.
8%
26-29
$175 Vol.
25%
30-33
$40 Vol.
11%
34+
$230 Vol.
8%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling averages show the SPD projected at 27–29% of the vote in the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, placing it second behind the AfD. This level of support, down sharply from the party’s 2021 result, implies roughly 20–24 seats under proportional allocation once smaller parties clear or miss the 5% threshold. The SPD’s campaign launch in early August, centered on Minister-President Manuela Schwesig, has produced modest gains in some surveys but has not altered the broader trend. With six weeks remaining, the seat distribution hinges on final turnout among eastern German voters and whether the CDU, Linke, or Greens consolidate enough support to shift the proportionality math. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 18–21 and 26–29 seat brackets aligns with these stable mid-to-low-20s estimates.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
ভলিউম
$743শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling averages show the SPD projected at 27–29% of the vote in the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, placing it second behind the AfD. This level of support, down sharply from the party’s 2021 result, implies roughly 20–24 seats under proportional allocation once smaller parties clear or miss the 5% threshold. The SPD’s campaign launch in early August, centered on Minister-President Manuela Schwesig, has produced modest gains in some surveys but has not altered the broader trend. With six weeks remaining, the seat distribution hinges on final turnout among eastern German voters and whether the CDU, Linke, or Greens consolidate enough support to shift the proportionality math. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 18–21 and 26–29 seat brackets aligns with these stable mid-to-low-20s estimates.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
ভলিউম
$743শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages show the SPD projected at 27–29% of the vote in the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, placing it second behind the AfD. This level of support, down sharply from the party’s 2021 result, implies roughly 20–24 seats under proportional allocation once smaller parties clear or miss the 5% threshold. The SPD’s campaign launch in early August, centered on Minister-President Manuela Schwesig, has produced modest gains in some surveys but has not altered the broader trend. With six weeks remaining, the seat distribution hinges on final turnout among eastern German voters and whether the CDU, Linke, or Greens consolidate enough support to shift the proportionality math. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 18–21 and 26–29 seat brackets aligns with these stable mid-to-low-20s estimates.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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