Nikki Budzinski, the Democratic incumbent in Illinois’s 13th congressional district, maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the November 2026 general election. The district’s D+5 partisan voting index and Budzinski’s 2024 margin of over 16 points contribute to its Solid D rating from nonpartisan analysts. She secured renomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Jeff Wilson emerged from a contested primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat that has trended Democratic. The 93.5% implied probability for Democrats reflects this baseline advantage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Republican wave, an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs in central Illinois counties.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIL-13 House Election Winner
IL-13 House Election Winner
$11,088 Vol.
$11,088 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$11,088 Vol.
$11,088 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,763 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$5,325 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nikki Budzinski, the Democratic incumbent in Illinois’s 13th congressional district, maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the November 2026 general election. The district’s D+5 partisan voting index and Budzinski’s 2024 margin of over 16 points contribute to its Solid D rating from nonpartisan analysts. She secured renomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Jeff Wilson emerged from a contested primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat that has trended Democratic. The 93.5% implied probability for Democrats reflects this baseline advantage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Republican wave, an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs in central Illinois counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$11,088শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nikki Budzinski, the Democratic incumbent in Illinois’s 13th congressional district, maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the November 2026 general election. The district’s D+5 partisan voting index and Budzinski’s 2024 margin of over 16 points contribute to its Solid D rating from nonpartisan analysts. She secured renomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Jeff Wilson emerged from a contested primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat that has trended Democratic. The 93.5% implied probability for Democrats reflects this baseline advantage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Republican wave, an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs in central Illinois counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$11,088শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nikki Budzinski, the Democratic incumbent in Illinois’s 13th congressional district, maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the November 2026 general election. The district’s D+5 partisan voting index and Budzinski’s 2024 margin of over 16 points contribute to its Solid D rating from nonpartisan analysts. She secured renomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Jeff Wilson emerged from a contested primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat that has trended Democratic. The 93.5% implied probability for Democrats reflects this baseline advantage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Republican wave, an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs in central Illinois counties.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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