OpenAI's IPO raise market reflects uncertainty around timing and scale amid its March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (40.9%) to a raise below $30 billion, driven by reports of a potential 2027 debut rather than late-2026 filing, ongoing nonprofit-to-for-profit restructuring needs, and persistent unprofitability despite $2 billion monthly revenue. Higher brackets such as $80–90 billion (28.1%) price in scenarios with $1 trillion-plus valuation targets and infrastructure demands. Key upcoming catalysts include any confidential S-1 updates, further funding rounds, and macroeconomic conditions affecting tech IPO windows.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
<$30B 41.6%
$80B–$90B 25.7%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$100B+ 17%
<$30B
42%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
23%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
6%
$80B–$90B
26%
$90B–$100B
4%
$100B+
15%
<$30B 41.6%
$80B–$90B 25.7%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$100B+ 17%
<$30B
42%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
23%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
6%
$80B–$90B
26%
$90B–$100B
4%
$100B+
15%
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's IPO raise market reflects uncertainty around timing and scale amid its March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (40.9%) to a raise below $30 billion, driven by reports of a potential 2027 debut rather than late-2026 filing, ongoing nonprofit-to-for-profit restructuring needs, and persistent unprofitability despite $2 billion monthly revenue. Higher brackets such as $80–90 billion (28.1%) price in scenarios with $1 trillion-plus valuation targets and infrastructure demands. Key upcoming catalysts include any confidential S-1 updates, further funding rounds, and macroeconomic conditions affecting tech IPO windows.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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