Several Republican-held Senate seats in 2026, including Texas, Iowa, Ohio, Michigan, Alaska, and Maine, rank among the most competitive based on recent polling and forecaster ratings, with multiple contests showing margins under five points or statistical ties. Open seats after retirements, strong challengers such as former Senator Sherrod Brown in Ohio and Mary Peltola in Alaska, and primary outcomes like Ken Paxton's nomination in Texas have tightened these races. Trader consensus on Texas leading reflects its large electorate and shifting demographics, yet the narrow spread among top probabilities underscores how small differences in turnout, late-campaign spending, or national conditions could determine which state records the smallest victory margin on election night.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTexas 16%
Iowa 11.9%
Ohio (Special) 11.0%
Michigan 10.8%
$37,196 Vol.
$37,196 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
16%
Iowa
12%
Ohio (Special)
11%
Michigan
11%
Alaska
9%
Maine
9%
North Carolina
7%
Nebraska
7%
Virginia
4%
Florida (Special)
3%
Montana
3%
New Hampshire
3%
Georgia
2%
New Mexico
2%
Minnesota
1%
Colorado
<1%
Texas 16%
Iowa 11.9%
Ohio (Special) 11.0%
Michigan 10.8%
$37,196 Vol.
$37,196 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
$1,816 Vol.
16%
Iowa
$2,959 Vol.
12%
Ohio (Special)
$8,954 Vol.
11%
Michigan
$2,883 Vol.
11%
Alaska
$7,337 Vol.
9%
Maine
$1,305 Vol.
9%
North Carolina
$851 Vol.
7%
Nebraska
$293 Vol.
7%
Virginia
$5,073 Vol.
4%
Florida (Special)
$253 Vol.
3%
Montana
$1,284 Vol.
3%
New Hampshire
$659 Vol.
3%
Georgia
$824 Vol.
2%
New Mexico
$160 Vol.
2%
Minnesota
$1,489 Vol.
1%
Colorado
$1,057 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several Republican-held Senate seats in 2026, including Texas, Iowa, Ohio, Michigan, Alaska, and Maine, rank among the most competitive based on recent polling and forecaster ratings, with multiple contests showing margins under five points or statistical ties. Open seats after retirements, strong challengers such as former Senator Sherrod Brown in Ohio and Mary Peltola in Alaska, and primary outcomes like Ken Paxton's nomination in Texas have tightened these races. Trader consensus on Texas leading reflects its large electorate and shifting demographics, yet the narrow spread among top probabilities underscores how small differences in turnout, late-campaign spending, or national conditions could determine which state records the smallest victory margin on election night.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
ভলিউম
$37,196শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several Republican-held Senate seats in 2026, including Texas, Iowa, Ohio, Michigan, Alaska, and Maine, rank among the most competitive based on recent polling and forecaster ratings, with multiple contests showing margins under five points or statistical ties. Open seats after retirements, strong challengers such as former Senator Sherrod Brown in Ohio and Mary Peltola in Alaska, and primary outcomes like Ken Paxton's nomination in Texas have tightened these races. Trader consensus on Texas leading reflects its large electorate and shifting demographics, yet the narrow spread among top probabilities underscores how small differences in turnout, late-campaign spending, or national conditions could determine which state records the smallest victory margin on election night.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$37,196শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Several Republican-held Senate seats in 2026, including Texas, Iowa, Ohio, Michigan, Alaska, and Maine, rank among the most competitive based on recent polling and forecaster ratings, with multiple contests showing margins under five points or statistical ties. Open seats after retirements, strong challengers such as former Senator Sherrod Brown in Ohio and Mary Peltola in Alaska, and primary outcomes like Ken Paxton's nomination in Texas have tightened these races. Trader consensus on Texas leading reflects its large electorate and shifting demographics, yet the narrow spread among top probabilities underscores how small differences in turnout, late-campaign spending, or national conditions could determine which state records the smallest victory margin on election night.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা