Democratic incumbent Adam Gray holds a strong position in California's 13th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, following his narrow 2024 victory and the June 2026 top-two primary where he and Republican Kevin Lincoln advanced. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the map toward a modest Democratic lean, improving Gray's structural advantages in a Central Valley district with mixed agricultural and suburban voters. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and others classify the race as Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting fundraising patterns, incumbency benefits, and limited Republican momentum. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 90 percent as these factors outweigh Lincoln's profile as a former mayor, though general election turnout and any late-cycle shifts in voter sentiment could still influence the final margin.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-13 House Election Winner
CA-13 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
11%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,745 Vol.
90%
Republican Party
$3,221 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Adam Gray holds a strong position in California's 13th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, following his narrow 2024 victory and the June 2026 top-two primary where he and Republican Kevin Lincoln advanced. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the map toward a modest Democratic lean, improving Gray's structural advantages in a Central Valley district with mixed agricultural and suburban voters. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and others classify the race as Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting fundraising patterns, incumbency benefits, and limited Republican momentum. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 90 percent as these factors outweigh Lincoln's profile as a former mayor, though general election turnout and any late-cycle shifts in voter sentiment could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
ভলিউম
$6,966শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Adam Gray holds a strong position in California's 13th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, following his narrow 2024 victory and the June 2026 top-two primary where he and Republican Kevin Lincoln advanced. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the map toward a modest Democratic lean, improving Gray's structural advantages in a Central Valley district with mixed agricultural and suburban voters. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and others classify the race as Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting fundraising patterns, incumbency benefits, and limited Republican momentum. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 90 percent as these factors outweigh Lincoln's profile as a former mayor, though general election turnout and any late-cycle shifts in voter sentiment could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$6,966শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Adam Gray holds a strong position in California's 13th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, following his narrow 2024 victory and the June 2026 top-two primary where he and Republican Kevin Lincoln advanced. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the map toward a modest Democratic lean, improving Gray's structural advantages in a Central Valley district with mixed agricultural and suburban voters. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and others classify the race as Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting fundraising patterns, incumbency benefits, and limited Republican momentum. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 90 percent as these factors outweigh Lincoln's profile as a former mayor, though general election turnout and any late-cycle shifts in voter sentiment could still influence the final margin.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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