Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election show a tight three-way contest for first place, with the Left, CDU, and AfD each leading at least one survey in the 17–23 percent range. This volatility keeps second-place probabilities closely bunched, as small shifts in turnout or late voter movement among the five parties clustered between 15 and 20 percent can reorder the ranking. Traders assign the CDU the highest implied probability for second, followed by the AfD, reflecting their consistent positioning just behind or alongside the leader in the latest Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Infratest dimap surveys. The Greens and SPD trail further back, while smaller parties remain marginal. Key factors that could separate the contenders include final-week turnout among younger voters newly eligible at 16 and any last-minute coalition signals affecting mobilization.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCDU 37%
AfD 33%
Linke 21%
Grüne 9%
$27,553 Vol.
$27,553 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
37%
AfD
33%
Linke
20%
Grüne
9%
SPD
3%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
CDU 37%
AfD 33%
Linke 21%
Grüne 9%
$27,553 Vol.
$27,553 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
$3,532 Vol.
37%
AfD
$6,819 Vol.
33%
Linke
$5,964 Vol.
20%
Grüne
$5,604 Vol.
9%
SPD
$3,526 Vol.
3%
FDP
$686 Vol.
<1%
FW
$640 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$783 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election show a tight three-way contest for first place, with the Left, CDU, and AfD each leading at least one survey in the 17–23 percent range. This volatility keeps second-place probabilities closely bunched, as small shifts in turnout or late voter movement among the five parties clustered between 15 and 20 percent can reorder the ranking. Traders assign the CDU the highest implied probability for second, followed by the AfD, reflecting their consistent positioning just behind or alongside the leader in the latest Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Infratest dimap surveys. The Greens and SPD trail further back, while smaller parties remain marginal. Key factors that could separate the contenders include final-week turnout among younger voters newly eligible at 16 and any last-minute coalition signals affecting mobilization.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
ভলিউম
$27,553শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election show a tight three-way contest for first place, with the Left, CDU, and AfD each leading at least one survey in the 17–23 percent range. This volatility keeps second-place probabilities closely bunched, as small shifts in turnout or late voter movement among the five parties clustered between 15 and 20 percent can reorder the ranking. Traders assign the CDU the highest implied probability for second, followed by the AfD, reflecting their consistent positioning just behind or alongside the leader in the latest Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Infratest dimap surveys. The Greens and SPD trail further back, while smaller parties remain marginal. Key factors that could separate the contenders include final-week turnout among younger voters newly eligible at 16 and any last-minute coalition signals affecting mobilization.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
ভলিউম
$27,553শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election show a tight three-way contest for first place, with the Left, CDU, and AfD each leading at least one survey in the 17–23 percent range. This volatility keeps second-place probabilities closely bunched, as small shifts in turnout or late voter movement among the five parties clustered between 15 and 20 percent can reorder the ranking. Traders assign the CDU the highest implied probability for second, followed by the AfD, reflecting their consistent positioning just behind or alongside the leader in the latest Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Infratest dimap surveys. The Greens and SPD trail further back, while smaller parties remain marginal. Key factors that could separate the contenders include final-week turnout among younger voters newly eligible at 16 and any last-minute coalition signals affecting mobilization.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা