Drake’s dominant catalog performance and steady 2026 streaming momentum have established him as the clear frontrunner for second-most-streamed artist on Spotify this year, reflected in the 72.5% market-implied probability. Traders cite his consistent lead-stream and feature activity, which have allowed him to close gaps on all-time leaders Taylor Swift and Bad Bunny while outpacing peers in daily volume. Swift sits at 17.5% amid a quieter release cycle following her recent all-time crown, while Bad Bunny’s 11% odds reflect carryover from his 2025 global title but slower current-year traction. The Weeknd, Bruno Mars, and others trail below 3% due to comparatively lower year-to-date metrics. Key catalysts ahead include remaining 2026 album drops, chart updates, and any surprise releases that could shift late-year trajectories before the December lock.